{"id":15433,"date":"2022-08-23T11:05:51","date_gmt":"2022-08-23T03:05:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jtcopper.com\/?p=15433"},"modified":"2022-08-23T11:05:51","modified_gmt":"2022-08-23T03:05:51","slug":"xian-dian-fan-wei-kuo-da-gong-ying-pian-jin-zhi-cheng-tong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.jtcopper.com\/hghy\/15433","title":{"rendered":"\u9650\u7535\u8303\u56f4\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u4f9b\u5e94\u504f\u7d27\u652f\u6491\u94dc\u4ef7"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u4e0a\u5468\u94dc<\/a>\u4ef7\u8dcc1.51%\uff0c\u8fd0\u884c\u533a\u95f4\u572860830-62610\u5143\/\u5428\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u8054\u50a87\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u663e\u793a\u4ecd\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f46\u52a0\u606f\u6b65\u4f10\u5c06\u5728\u67d0\u4e2a\u65f6\u5019\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u8bb2\u8bdd\u4e2d\u5bf99\u6708\u52a0\u606f\u91ca\u653e\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u4f46\u7ee7\u7eed\u6297\u51fb\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u52a0\u606f\u5f97\u5230\u786e\u8ba4\uff0c\u5173\u6ce8\u4e0b\u5468Jackson hole\u4f1a\u8bae\u662f\u5426\u6709\u66f4\u660e\u786e\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6307\u5f15\uff0c\u6ce8\u610f\u52a0\u606f\u653e\u7f13\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u53ca\u9884\u671f\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd7\u6708\u5730\u4ea7\u6570\u636e\u7684\u56de\u843d\u8868\u660e\u52a0\u606f\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6291\u5236\u4f5c\u7528\u6b63\u5728\u663e\u73b0\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e5f\u5728\u9762\u4e34\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u5939\u51fb\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4fee\u590d\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u53cd\u5f39\u540e\u7eed\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u504f\u5f31\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u9006\u8f6c\uff0c\u6ce8\u610f\u8870\u9000\u4ea4\u6613\u518d\u5ea6\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

\u76ee\u524d\u94dc\u4ef7\u5411\u4e0a\u66f4\u591a\u4f9d\u8d56\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u9a71\u52a8\uff0c\u56fd\u5185\u5404\u5730\u9519\u5cf0\u7528\u7535\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e3b\u8981\u4f53\u73b0\u5728\u4f9b\u5e94\u7aef\uff0c8\u6708\u6e56\u5317\u3001\u5b89\u5fbd\u3001\u6d59\u6c5f\u7b49\u5730\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u4e0b\u964d3.2-3.8\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u5728\u94dc\u5e93\u5b58\u5904\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0a\u53ef\u80fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u504f\u5f3a\u3002\u9700\u6c42\u7aef\u53d7\u5230\u57fa\u5efa\u3001\u7535\u7f51\u8ba2\u5355\u7684\u91ca\u653e\u4e0e\u7cbe\u5e9f\u53cd\u66ff\u4ee3\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u7cbe\u94dc\u6746\u5f00\u5de5\u7387\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u5347\u81f378.1%\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u968f\u7740\u9650\u7535\u8303\u56f4\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u4e0b\u6e38\u94dc\u6746\u3001\u7ebf\u7f06\u5382\u51cf\u505c\u4ea7\u5bf9\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u6291\u5236\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u6301\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5355\u8fb9\uff1a\u7cbe\u94dc\u4f9b\u5e94\u504f\u7d27\u652f\u6491\u7ed3\u6784\u504f\u5f3a\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u94dc\u4ef7\u6216\u533a\u95f4\u9707\u8361\u8fd0\u884c\uff0c\u6ce8\u610f\u5b8f\u89c2\u518d\u5ea6\u8f6c\u7a7a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5173\u6ce8<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
1.\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd8\u6708\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u521d\u503c\uff08\u5468\u4e8c\uff09\uff1b<\/p>\n

2.\u7f8e\u56fd7\u6708\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387\u521d\u503c\uff08\u5468\u4e09\uff09\uff1b<\/p>\n

3.Jackson hole\u5168\u7403\u592e\u884c\u5e74\u4f1a\uff08\u5468\u4e94\uff09\uff1b<\/p>\n

4.\u56fd\u5185\u9650\u7535\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u94dc\u5e93\u5b58\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u7535\u89e3\u94dc\u4f9b\u9700\u5e73\u8861\u8868<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u56fd\u5185\u5e93\u5b58\uff1a\u51b6\u70bc\u5382\u4ea7\u51fa\u53d7\u9650\uff0c\u94dc\u5e93\u5b58\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u636eMysteel\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u56fd\u5185\u7535\u89e3\u94dc\u73b0\u8d27\u5e93\u5b585.87\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u964d0.32\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e0a\u6d77\u964d0.35\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u5e7f\u4e1c\u589e0.07\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u6c5f\u82cf\u589e0.03\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u51b6\u70bc\u4f01\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u56e0\u7535\u529b\u4f9b\u5e94\u7d27\u5f20\u800c\u53d7\u635f\uff0c\u5e93\u5b58\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u4fdd\u7a0e\u533a\u94dc\u73b0\u8d27\u5e93\u5b5814.8\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u964d1.5\u4e07\u5428\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u94dc\u73b0\u8d27\u5e93\u5b58<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u4fdd\u7a0e\u533a\u94dc\u5e93\u5b58<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6d77\u5916\u5e93\u5b58\uff1aLME\u5e93\u5b58\u4e0b\u964d0.8\u4e07\u5428<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u622a\u81f3\u5468\u4e94\uff0cLME\u94dc\u5e93\u5b58\u4e3a12.38\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u51cf0.8\u4e07\u5428\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u5468\u4e94\uff0cLME\u6ce8\u9500\u4ed3\u5355\u5360\u6bd4\u4e3a33.84%\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0a\u53471\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

LME\u94dc\u5e93\u5b58<\/strong><\/p>\n

LME\u94dc\u6ce8\u9500\u4ed3\u5355\u5360\u6bd4<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4f30\u503c\u6c34\u4f4d\uff1a\u94dc\u4ef7\u4f4d\u4e8e\u9707\u8361\u533a\u95f4\u504f\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7f6e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u622a\u81f3\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u94dc\u4f30\u503c\u6c34\u4f4d\u4e3a20.94%\uff0c\u4f4d\u4e8e20%-80%\u7684\u9707\u8361\u533a\u95f4\u504f\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u79fb1\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u5468\u5185\u94dc\u73b0\u8d27\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u9a71\u52a8\u7ed3\u6784\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u94dc\u4ef7\u4e00\u5ea6\u8fdb\u5165\u4f4e\u4f30\u533a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u94dc\u7cbe\u77ff\uff1aTC\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0b\u884c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u636eMysteel\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u622a\u6b62\u5468\u4e94\u56fd\u5185\u94dc\u7cbe\u77ff\u73b0\u8d27TC\u4e3a73\u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\uff0c-1.6\u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\u3002<\/p>\n

\u667a\u5229Antofagasta\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u667a\u5229\u589e\u52a0\u7a0e\u6536\u548c\u7279\u8bb8\u6743\u4f7f\u7528\u8d39\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u83b7\u6279\uff0c\u5219\u8be5\u56fd\u7684\u94dc\u9879\u76ee\u5c06\u88ab\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u67e5\u3002<\/p>\n

MMG\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u6ca1\u6709\u786e\u5b9a\u4f55\u65f6\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u79d8\u9c81\u7684Las Bambas\u77ff\u5efa\u9020\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u9732\u5929\u77ff\uff08Chalcobamba\uff09\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u4ea7\u91cf\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5f00\u59cb\u8fd0\u8425\u3002\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u571f\u8457\u793e\u533a\u7684\u6297\u8bae\uff0c\u8be5\u9879\u76ee\u88ab\u6401\u7f6e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u94dc\u7cbe\u77ff\u73b0\u8d27<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u90e8\u5206\u77ff\u4f01\u94dc\u4ea7\u91cf\uff08kt\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\n2021H1<\/td>\n2022H1<\/td>\n\u589e\u901f<\/td>\n2022\u4ea7\u91cf\u76ee\u6807<\/td>\n\u8f83\u5e74\u521d\u76ee\u6807<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Codelco<\/td>\n850.45<\/td>\n784.00<\/td>\n-7.8%<\/td>\n1710<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Freeport<\/td>\n826.90<\/td>\n945.29<\/td>\n14.3%<\/td>\n1905<\/td>\n-45<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
BHP<\/td>\n794.40<\/td>\n831.50<\/td>\n4.7%<\/td>\n1635-1825<\/td>\n-55<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Antofagasta<\/td>\n361.50<\/td>\n268.50<\/td>\n-25.7%<\/td>\n640-660<\/td>\n-25<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Glencore<\/td>\n598.00<\/td>\n510.20<\/td>\n-14.7%<\/td>\n1060\u00b130<\/td>\n-90<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Anglo\u00a0American<\/td>\n330.00<\/td>\n273.40<\/td>\n-17.2%<\/td>\n660-750<\/td>\n-15<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rio\u00a0Tinto<\/td>\n236.00<\/td>\n251.90<\/td>\n6.7%<\/td>\n500-575<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Southern\u00a0copper<\/td>\n475.50<\/td>\n422.88<\/td>\n-11.1%<\/td>\n898.2<\/td>\n-24<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
First\u00a0quantum<\/td>\n404.75<\/td>\n374.88<\/td>\n-7.4%<\/td>\n790-855<\/td>\n-23<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
KGHM<\/td>\n324.49<\/td>\n316.71<\/td>\n-2.4%<\/td>\n611<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
MMG<\/td>\n170.64<\/td>\n123.57<\/td>\n-27.6%<\/td>\nN\/A<\/td>\nN\/A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Vale<\/td>\n148.60<\/td>\n109.60<\/td>\n-26.2%<\/td>\n270-285<\/td>\n-65<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Teck<\/td>\n143.84<\/td>\n138.46<\/td>\n-3.7%<\/td>\n273-290<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Lundin<\/td>\n120.81<\/td>\n129.18<\/td>\n6.9%<\/td>\n250-274<\/td>\n-8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Nornickel<\/td>\n173.16<\/td>\n203.95<\/td>\n17.8%<\/td>\n365-385<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u7d2b\u91d1\u77ff\u4e1a<\/td>\n240.63<\/td>\n410.00<\/td>\n70.4%<\/td>\n860<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Newcrest<\/td>\n73.40<\/td>\n69.71<\/td>\n-5.0%<\/td>\n125\u2013130<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5408\u8ba1<\/td>\n6273.1<\/td>\n6163.7<\/td>\n-1.7%<\/td>\n2.2%<\/td>\n-349.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7535\u89e3\u94dc\uff1a8\u6708\u7535\u89e3\u94dc\u4ea7\u91cf\u6216\u8f83\u9884\u671f\u4e0b\u964d3.2-3.8\u4e07\u5428<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u622a\u81f3\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u94dc\u7cbe\u77ff\u73b0\u8d27\u51b6\u70bc\u5e73\u5747\u5229\u6da6\u4e3a1103\u5143\/\u5428\uff0c-167\u5143\/\u5428\u3002\u786b\u9178\u4ef7\u683c\u56de\u843d\u81f3400\u5143\u4ee5\u5185\uff0c\u5e26\u52a8\u51b6\u70bc\u5382\u76c8\u5229\u6c34\u5e73\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u79fb\u3002<\/p>\n

\u636eMysteel\uff0c8\u6708\u521d\uff0c\u534e\u4e2d\u5730\u533a\u3001\u534e\u4e1c\u5730\u533a\u7535\u529b\u4f9b\u5e94\u7d27\u5f20\u4fe1\u53f7\u9891\u51fa\uff0c\u94dc\u51b6\u70bc\u4f01\u4e1a\u7535\u89e3\u73af\u8282\u906d\u53d7\u660e\u663e\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u4f01\u4e1a\u5df2\u5f00\u59cb\u5bf9\u5916\u5ba3\u5e03\u957f\u5355\u4f9b\u5e94\u9047\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u6297\u529b\u800c\u96be\u4ea4\u4ed8\u3002\u636e\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c8\u6708\u56e0\u7535\u529b\u4f9b\u5e94\u7d27\u5f20\u800c\u9020\u6210\u7535\u89e3\u94dc\u4ea7\u51fa\u4e0b\u964d\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u6e56\u5317\u5e02\u573a\u5f53\u6708\u9884\u8ba1\u4e0b\u964d1.5-1.8\u4e07\u5428\uff1b\u5b89\u5fbd\u5e02\u573a\u5f53\u6708\u9884\u8ba1\u4e0b\u964d1.2\u4e07\u5428\uff1b\u6d59\u6c5f\u5e02\u573a\u5f53\u6708\u9884\u8ba1\u4e0b\u964d0.5-0.8\u4e07\u5428\u3002<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\u7535\u89e3\u94dc\u662f\u751f\u4ea7\u94dc\u52a0\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u94dc\u68d2\u3001\u94dc\u5e26<\/a>\u3001\u94dc\u7ba1\u3001\u94dc\u6392<\/a>\u7b49\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u539f\u6750\u6599\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n

\u94dc\u7cbe\u77ff\u51b6\u70bc\u5229\u6da6\u6d4b\u7b97<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u7535\u89e3\u94dc\u4ea7\u91cf<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e9f\u94dc\uff1a\u7cbe\u5e9f\u5dee\u7684\u6536\u7a84\u5229\u597d\u7cbe\u94dc\u6d88\u8d39<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u622a\u81f3\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u5e7f\u4e1c\u5730\u533a\u7535\u89e3\u94dc\u73b0\u8d27\u4e0e\u5149\u4eae\u94dc\u7cbe\u5e9f\u5dee\u4e3a1215\u5143\/\u5428\uff0c-113\u5143\/\u5428\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0b\u6e38\u5229\u5e9f\u4f01\u4e1a\u539f\u6599\u5e93\u5b58\u6301\u7eed\u5904\u4e8e\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u8865\u5e93\u9700\u6c42\u5f3a\u70c8\uff0c\u4f46\u5e9f\u94dc\u8d27\u6e90\u6301\u7eed\u504f\u7d27\u4e14\u4ef7\u683c\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u5de5\u5382\u5f00\u5de5\u7387\u96be\u6709\u660e\u663e\u722c\u5347\u3002\u7cbe\u5e9f\u4ef7\u5dee\u7684\u6536\u7a84\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u7cbe\u94dc\u6d88\u8d39\u3002<\/p>\n

\u94dc\u7cbe\u5e9f\u5dee<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e9f\u94dc\u8fdb\u53e3<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u94dc\u4e0b\u6e38\uff1a\u9650\u7535\u5bf9\u4e0b\u6e38\u5f71\u54cd\u76f8\u5bf9\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u7cbe\u94dc\u6746\u5f00\u5de5\u7387\u7ee7\u7eed\u62ac\u5347<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u636eSMM\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u56fd\u5185\u4e3b\u8981\u7cbe\u94dc\u6746\u4f01\u4e1a\u5468\u5ea6\u5f00\u5de5\u7387\u4e3a78.1%\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0a\u53473.86\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

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